MARKET ANALYSIS (NIFTY 50)

Market Analysis as on 11August'  2025 Today’s market session formed a bullish candle; however, price action and volume data suggest that this move is more likely a retracement within the prevailing downtrend rather than a genuine trend reversal. The candle lacks the momentum and follow-through strength typically required to shift overall market sentiment from bearish to bullish. From the institutional activity perspective, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) remain net sellers, signaling continued caution and capital outflow from Indian equities. In contrast, Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) are net buyers, providing some short-term support to the market. FIIs appear to be diversifying their portfolios with a greater focus on other Asian economies, possibly due to more favorable risk–reward ratios or geopolitical considerations. On the global front, the NASDAQ is exhibiting a bullish bias, driven largely by strength in technology stocks, while the Dow Jones Industri...

  Learn how beginner traders often confuse retracement with trend reversal in the stock market. Understand the difference, common mistakes, and how to avoid losses by combining candlestick charts with technical & data analysis. How Can a Trader Get Trapped in Retracement and Reversal Trends? Many beginner traders approach the market with a short-term mindset, focusing heavily on immediate price movements. This limited perspective often leads them to misinterpret normal retracements as full-fledged trend reversals. As a result, they prematurely exit profitable trades or enter positions in the wrong direction, ultimately booking significant losses. The core problem lies in the inability to correctly differentiate between a retracement (a temporary pullback within the existing trend) and a reversal (a complete change in the trend’s direction). Relying solely on candlestick charts for decision-making compounds this challenge. While candlestick charts provide valuable insight ...

MARKET ANALYSIS (NIFTY 50) 08August’ 2025 Nifty 50 falls 232 points as FIIs remain net sellers. Global equity flows shift to Taiwan, South Korea, and Vietnam amid US tariff concerns. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have continued their net selling stance throughout the month, reflecting persistent caution toward Indian equities. Despite a significant 232-point decline in the Nifty 50, there has been no visible buying pressure from major market participants, indicating weak investor sentiment. On the global front, equity funds recorded their second consecutive week of net outflows, totaling $7.82 billion, primarily due to heightened concerns over U.S. tariff policies and prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties. These developments have weighed on risk appetite across emerging markets. Regionally, India, Indonesia, and the Philippines have been experiencing continued foreign capital outflows. In contrast, Taiwan and South Korea have emerged as strong beneficiaries of global f...

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NIFTY 50 Market Analysis — As on 07 August 2025 Despite today's recovery in Nifty 50, the buying pressure and volume observed do not align well with underlying data metrics and market internals. From a data analysis perspective, today’s bullish activity lacks strong confirmation and appears technically unconvincing. The upward momentum seems more sentiment-driven rather than supported by fundamentals or institutional participation. The price action fails to meet the key parameters typically required to signal a genuine trend reversal. Hence, traders should wait for further confirmation, which may come in tomorrow’s session (08 August 2025). Until then, the trend remains unclear and potentially volatile. Institutional Activity FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors) continue to remain net sellers, signaling cautious sentiment toward Indian equities. In the month of August so far, FIIs have withdrawn approximately ₹12,000 crores, reflecting sustained outflows and lack of confi...

  Market Analysis – 06 August 2025 India–US Trade Tensions Escalate In a major geopolitical development, former U.S. President Donald Trump has imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods, citing India’s continued import of Russian oil. This move has significantly escalated trade tensions between the two nations, adding pressure on India’s export-driven sectors and overall investor sentiment. The development has injected fresh volatility into the market and raised concerns about potential retaliatory measures. Monetary Policy Outcome – No Change in Repo Rate The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has announced its decision to keep the repo rate unchanged, signaling a cautious stance amid global and domestic uncertainties. The decision reflects the RBI’s concern over weak economic indicators and persistent inflationary pressures. The unchanged rate also indicates a continuation of the current bearish trend, as the market had no fresh positive cues from the policy. FIIs M...